Probe capacity; never remember it
Whether a lane, worker, or service is available is checked now, not recalled from yesterday. A stale capacity belief acts exactly like a real limit.
The move
Whether a model lane, a worker, or a service is available is a fact you check now, not a state you recall from yesterday.
When to use it
Before any routing decision that steers work around something believed to be exhausted, capped, or down.
Steps
- Record capacity beliefs with a timestamp and a source.
- Let a belief expire at its reset time, or after a day without fresh confirmation.
- At expiry, treat the lane as unverified, not capped, and probe it.
- Report transitions the round they are observed.
The gotcha
This household steered work around a lane believed exhausted for a full day after its usage window had already reset. A stale belief about capacity is indistinguishable from a real limit until someone probes it, so the probe is part of the routine.
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